文／吳德榮
三立準氣象‧老大洩天機
昨(26)日全台最高溫已回升至34.7度(台北士林區)，苗栗以南及東半部有顯明降雨；今(27日)晨高屏仍持續有局部雨。
最新(26日20時)歐洲(ECMWF)模式模擬顯示，今(27)日至週三(30日)「梅雨滯留鋒」在長江流域徜徉，但「太平洋高壓」並未增強西伸，台灣流行「西南季風」(左圖)，大氣溫暖濕潤且不穩定，迎風面中南部有不定時降雨，且有「猛烈氣候」及「大量降雨」發生的條件(右圖)，仍應注意防汛。背風面的北部、東半部則高溫酷熱，本日午後仍有局部陣雨或雷雨的機率，明日至週三北部平地午後的降雨機率下降。今日各區域氣溫：北部23至36度，中部24至33度，南部23至34度，東部23至36度。
最新歐洲模式摹擬顯示，週四起至下週日(7月1至4日)「承平洋高壓」逐步增強西伸，中南部連日多雨的型態結束，台灣進入「夏日型」的氣候。各地晴朗酷熱、山區午後偶有局部短暫陣雨的機率，高溫達36度以上，要注意防曬、防中暑。
圖：最新(26日20時)歐洲(ECMWF)模式，模擬28日20時850百帕相對濕度及風場圖顯示，台灣處在「西南季風」環境(左圖)。摹擬28日20時地面氣壓及雨量圖顯示，迎風面中南部有大量降雨(右圖)。
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